CD Pontejos vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Pontejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PON
3 - 1
ESC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 4
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 3
PON
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PON
0 - 4
GIM
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
5 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
SIE
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |