FA Cup 1/256
Global 0-1
Pontefract Collieries vs FC Halifax Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PON
0 - 1
STO
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
HAN
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PON
1 - 1
YOR
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SQU
2 - 3
PON
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Halifax Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 0
WEY
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 2
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
HAL
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 1
HAL
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |