Pontedera vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
OLB
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ASG
0 - 0
PON
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
PIA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIA
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PIA
0 - 1
CAM
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SER
2 - 3
PIA
28%
26%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |