Pontedera vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 2
PON
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
OLB
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
PON
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
36%
28%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GER
2 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |