Pontedera vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 0
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PON
0 - 1
PRO
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GER
2 - 3
PON
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 0
PON
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PON
0 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
60%
23%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ASL
4 - 5
ABN
23%
28%
50%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 1
GER
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
OLB
0 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |