Pontedera vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
PON
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
GER
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 1
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
3 - 1
PON
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 2
GRO
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
USA
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
LIV
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |