Pontedera vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PON
1 - 3
MAN
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
6 - 0
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
EMP
3 - 0
PON
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 0
PON
44%
28%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IMO
2 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JS2
1 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
ASL
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ABN
3 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |