Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 0
CAM
84%
11%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |