Ponte Preta vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
PPE
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 1
PPE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PPE
3 - 3
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
0 - 1
PPE
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
JUV
4 - 1
VAS
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 2
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 3
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | +1 |