Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-2
Ponte Preta vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
PPE
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
4 - 1
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
COM
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
3 - 0
JAC
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
PPE
9%
18%
73%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
URS
2 - 3
SAP
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAP
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |