Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 3
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PPE
5 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
PPE
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
OES
2 - 3
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |