Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-3
Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PPE
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
PPE
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATL
36%
24%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 2
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
PPE
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 5
SAO
8%
16%
77%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |