Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COT
1 - 1
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PPE
3 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 0
PPE
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 2
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
STR
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATP
4 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |