Ponte Preta vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 0
PAY
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
PPE
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 0
PPE
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
PAY
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |