Ponte Preta vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
4 - 0
PPE
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
PPE
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 1
BOT
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
0 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |