Ponte Preta vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
PPE
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 1
ATM
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
5 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 4
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
JUV
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |