Paulista A1 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 2
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
90%
7%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 3
PAL
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |