Ponte Preta vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
PPE
2 - 2
CUI
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
PPE
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 1
PPE
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 1
CRZ
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
PPE
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 0
AMF
24%
30%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
CUI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |