Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-2
Ponte Preta vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 3
PPE
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
PPE
12%
21%
66%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
PPE
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 1
PEN
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
PPE
12%
21%
66%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOT
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 1
MOT
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
MOT
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |