Ponte Preta vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
BRA
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
PPE
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 2
VAS
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 1
SAM
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 1
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
JEC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 3
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |