Ponte Preta vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
SPO
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
PPE
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
BAH
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
PPE
32%
29%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |