Ponte Preta vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
PPE
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
PPE
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 3
MIR
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
DUQ
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |