Ponte Preta vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 2
PPE
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FFL
0 - 0
PPE
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
PPE
4 - 4
PAY
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
CRI
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 3
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |