Ponte Preta vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
6 - 1
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
ITU
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 1
PPE
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
PPE
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
PPE
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRÊ
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 0
GRÊ
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
AUD
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 4
GRÊ
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |