Ponte Preta vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 0
PPE
18%
24%
59%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
SAM
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
PPE
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 0
INT
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
MIR
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |