Ponte Preta vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
PPE
3 - 0
FLU
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 4
PPE
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
PPE
3 - 3
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PPE
0 - 2
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ATP
4 - 2
PPE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 0
BAH
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |