Ponte Preta vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
ITU
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 2
OES
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 3
PPE
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
COM
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
MIR
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
COM
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 2
GUA
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |