Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
PPE
29%
30%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
PPE
21%
28%
51%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
OES
1 - 3
PPE
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CUI
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
GUA
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |