Ponte Preta vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FFL
4 - 0
PPE
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
PPE
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
3 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 2
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |