Ponte Preta vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 1
PPE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 2
PPE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 2
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
PPE
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 3
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
VAS
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |