Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Ponte Preta vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PPE
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 0
FFL
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 2
PPE
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 3
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
PPE
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PPE
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOA
4 - 1
AME
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |