Ponte Preta vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
80%
13%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
PAL
24%
28%
49%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OES
2 - 1
PPE
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
PPE
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 3
GOI
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
COR
3 - 4
ASA
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASA
6 - 2
COR
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |