Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-0
Ponte Preta vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
PPE
1 - 2
BRA
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
PPE
67%
22%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PPE
1 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 0
PPE
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 0
AFO
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
ATM
9%
19%
73%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 0
ATL
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |