Ponte Preta vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 2
LUV
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
PPE
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
PPE
37%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
ICA
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
BOA
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |