Ourense CF vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIV
3 - 3
OUR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
OUR
3 - 2
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
OUR
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
OUR
3 - 0
FIS
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
OUR
4 - 1
UPH
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 1
RIB
50%
25%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
25%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARZ
4 - 0
UDA
59%
23%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PON
0 - 1
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARZ
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |