Ourense CF vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
SIL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 2
OUR
23%
24%
54%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
3 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UDO
0 - 2
OUR
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
2 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
UPH
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ARO
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
RCV
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 1
ARO
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
3 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |