Ourense CF vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
OUR
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OUR
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
SOM
1 - 2
OUR
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 2
CUL
55%
22%
22%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
OUR
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 0
NOI
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALO
4 - 1
ARO
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
BER
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 1
CEL
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
ARO
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |