Pontarlier vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CSL
1 - 1
PON
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
PON
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EVI
4 - 0
PON
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
SED
10%
19%
72%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LPV
3 - 2
PON
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
THI
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
COU
0 - 1
THI
64%
22%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
THI
70%
20%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
THI
1 - 3
EVI
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
THI
3 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |