Pontarlier vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
12º
4º
17
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
PON
34%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
BRC
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
THA
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PON
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VES
3 - 1
PON
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
THA
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
SAR
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |