Pontarlier vs Saint-Apollinaire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
2º
27
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 3
PON
8%
15%
78%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 1
PON
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
SOC
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 0
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 4
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
APO
3 - 3
SOC
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
5 - 1
APO
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 2
BFC
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
APO
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
DIJ
19%
21%
61%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |