Pontarlier vs Paron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCG
1 - 4
PON
16%
20%
65%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PON
2 - 1
BFC
28%
25%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SEL
2 - 2
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOC
4 - 1
PON
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BRC
3 - 1
PON
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Paron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 6
JUR
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SOC
1 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRC
13%
16%
71%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |