Pontarlier vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
7º
5
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RVA
4 - 4
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
2 - 4
DIJ
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VES
1 - 4
PON
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
YZE
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 2
PON
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
REI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
THL
1 - 0
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |