Pontarlier vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 4
PON
13%
21%
67%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
COU
2 - 3
PON
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
ECH
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ECH
3 - 0
PON
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 1
BSU
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 2
THA
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
ILL
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
SAI
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
COL
6 - 1
ILL
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |