Pontarlier vs ER Novillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
THI
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CSL
1 - 1
PON
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
PON
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EVI
4 - 0
PON
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
SED
10%
19%
72%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 3
CSL
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 0
ERN
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
ERN
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 2
COU
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ERN
0 - 4
LPV
36%
24%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |