Pontarlier vs Quetigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
2º
3
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
SEL
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 2
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
FCG
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 1
PON
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PON
4 - 2
JUR
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Quetigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 11
SOC
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCG
3 - 1
QUE
84%
12%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 5
BFC
11%
17%
73%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JUR
3 - 1
QUE
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 2
DIJ
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |