Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Ponferradina vs Cambados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CFP
0 - 2
PON
78%
16%
6%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
PON
2 - 0
VDB
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PON
3 - 0
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
CEL
0 - 2
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
PON
5 - 0
GRA
74%
18%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cambados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ARE
2 - 1
CAM
44%
30%
27%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CAM
3 - 1
FIS
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
LUG
5 - 0
CAM
63%
24%
14%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
CAM
0 - 0
SIE
63%
21%
15%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SMA
1 - 2
CAM
55%
26%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |