Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-5
Ponferradina vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SAL
1 - 0
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
PON
3 - 2
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
MIG
0 - 3
PON
16%
26%
58%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
MED
1 - 2
PON
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
PON
1 - 0
AST
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
VAD
2 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ATH
3 - 3
VAD
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
VAD
1 - 0
OSA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
VAD
5 - 0
CUL
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ATM
1 - 4
VAD
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |