Ponferradina vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
CFP
0 - 0
PON
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 2
PON
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PON
3 - 0
LOG
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
PON
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
PON
4 - 1
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
UBC
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UBC
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
NOJ
1 - 2
UBC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CFP
2 - 2
UBC
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
UBC
2 - 0
QRE
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |