Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 3-2
Ponferradina vs Tenisca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PON
2 - 1
IZA
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TUD
0 - 1
PON
17%
27%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
PON
4 - 0
ARO
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PON
1 - 1
OSA
79%
16%
6%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
PON
20%
27%
54%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Tenisca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SDT
2 - 2
VER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 0
SDT
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 1
SDT
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SDT
6 - 0
TEL
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |