Segunda B Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Ponferradina vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
PON
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 2
BAL
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CDT
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 1
BAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 1
CDT
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 2
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |